Implied Volatility vs Historical: Why the Smile Exists
Historical volatility measures the past; implied volatility prices the future, and the two are routinely confused. This post covers how each is…
Historical volatility measures the past; implied volatility prices the future, and the two are routinely confused. This post covers how each is…
Traders do not watch option prices, they watch sensitivities. This post explains delta, gamma, vega, theta and rho in plain language with…
The Black-Scholes formula has five inputs and a set of assumptions, and knowing what each does is worth more than reproducing the…
Stochastic calculus is usually taught starting from measure theory, which is not where the intuition lives. This post builds it from coin…
Replication is the single most important idea in derivatives pricing, and it can be demonstrated exactly with secondary-school arithmetic. This post prices…
An option's payoff bends where a forward's runs straight, and that kink is the source of everything difficult about pricing them. This…
Forwards, futures and swaps dominate global derivative volume, and all three can be priced with a yield curve and arithmetic. This post…
A yield curve is built, not observed. This post covers what the curve says about the economy, the difference between par yields,…
Discounting is the one operation that every valuation in finance reduces to. This post explains present value from first principles, works through…